Análisis Sabadell: Posible rebote hacia 1,87 €

Esta semana Banco Sabadell celebra su junta de accionistas el jueves. Vamos a analizar su cotización tras la fuerte caída que sufrió la entidad catalana desde mediados del año pasado para tener una perspectiva de la cotización cara a la reunión de fin de mes.

Antes de comenzar el análisis nos gustaría destacar una noticia sobre el banco catalán del pasado 23 de marzo en diario La Opinión A Coruña sobre la polémica clásula suelo: “Un socio de la Unión de Consumidores de Galicia (Ucgal) obtuvo esta semana una sentencia favorable que condena al Banco Sabadell a devolverle los 7.000 euros cobrados en concepto de cláusula suelo desde la firma de la hipoteca. El fallo obliga a la entidad a dejar de aplicar esta cláusula y a reintegrar todas las cantidades cobradas de más desde 2008, con los intereses legales devengados en las cuotas, hasta la fecha de la reclamación judicial”.

Este viernes Sabadell cerró en 1,65 €. Si os fijáis en el gráfico diario vemos que este nivel ha cumplido la función de soporte y resistencia en varias oportunidades desde septiembre del año pasado. Esto lo impulsó hacia los 2 € y 1,38 € el 9 de octubre de 2015 y 11 de febrero respectivamente.

Los mencionados 2 € cumplieron un importante soporte desde octubre 2014 hasta marzo 2015 que lo impulsó hasta los 2,37 € el 15 de mayo del 2015 con un soporte en los 2,25 €.

Luego de esto sufrió una importante caída hasta los 1,60  para subir hasta los mencionados 2 € y emprender un canal lateral bajista hasta la cotización actual.

La media de 50 la encontramos por debajo del precio en 1,53 € y la de 200 por encima en los 1,79 €.

El RSI se encuentra a la baja en 56 puntos.

Si aplicamos el canal de retroceso de Fibonacci vemos que se encuentra por debajo del 38% del mencionado canal. Los 2 € mencionados anteriormente se ubican en el 61,8% que luego lo rebotó a la baja.


Si observamos los últimos días de cotización vemos una tendencia bajista que ha cubierto más del 50% de la vela alcista pero atentos porque previo a esa vela hubo un gap que podríamos tomarlo como soporte en 1,62 €.

Si nos vamos a Heiken Ashi vemos cierta incertidumbre en el mercado.


Si bajamos a gráficos horarios vemos que los 1,67 € han funcionado como soporte desde el 17 de marzo y en la última jornada ha pasado a formar una resistencia.

Las medias se invierten quedando la de 50 por encima en los 1,69 € y la de 200 por debajo en los 1,58 €.

El RSI en tendencia bajista en los 41 puntos


Si no quiebra los 1,62 € podríamos esperar un camino alcista hacia los 1,87 € que corresponden al 50% de Fibonacci.


Disclaimmer: La opinión vertida en este artículo es únicamente la visión del mercado del analista. 
Bajo ningún punto de vista representan ideas de inversión. 
Recuerde que invertir en el mercado de valores conlleva sus riesgos. 
Asesórese con un profesional antes de operar en los mercados.

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